US unemployment figures

by Sam Roggeveen - 13 February 2009 3:42PM

ABC News finance analyst Alan Kohler last night flashed up this graph on US unemployment statistics, which comes from US House Speaker Nancy Pelosi's website. Sorry about the poor resolution, but all you need to know is that the dramatic green line represents the current recession:

The problem with this graph, as we noted on Tuesday, is that American bloggers showed it to be a bit misleading. Pelosi's graph is based on absolute unemployment numbers rather than the unemployment rate. Since the US labour force is bigger now than in previous recessions, you get a more dramatic number. But in percentage terms, the current jobless rate is more consistent with previous US recessions. 

Pelosi's graph was intended to dramatise the financial crisis in order to get political momentum behind the stimulus bill. Kohler might wish to point that out on Monday's broadcast.

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Interpreting the Aid Review

This is the archive of a Lowy Institute blog which ran from January to April of 2011. It was published to debate the Gillard Government's independent aid review, which was then in its research and consultation phase. We offer this archive as a service to researchers and the general public.